The Underdog Strategy in Soccer: When to Bet Against the Odds

The realm of soccer betting is a pulsating adventure, especially in the booming market of sports betting South Africa. The thrill intensifies when one navigates the risky waters of underdog betting. This narrative explores underdog betting strategy’s nitty-gritty, drawing from statistical analyses and real-life examples.

The Underdog Charm: More than Just a Fairytale 

The concept of the underdog defying the odds isn’t just a Hollywood trope; it’s grounded in statistical realities. For instance, research has shown that underdogs have an approximately 45% chance of winning or drawing in leagues like the English Premier League. This stems from many factors, like tactical adaptability, squad depth, and in-game management, which underdog teams often leverage to their advantage. For instance, underdogs may adopt a defensive, counter-attacking strategy against stronger teams, exploiting any over-commitment to attack. Moreover, top teams often face fixture congestion issues especially during European competition weeks, which can lead to fatigue and hence, an increased likelihood of underdog teams clinching a win or draw.

Your Crystal Ball: Analytics 

The gap in odds can often provide valuable soccer tipping cues for punters. For example, if the odds for a favourite to win stand at 1.2 and the underdog at 15, the disparity is substantial. However, if the odds for over 2.5 goals, for example, are set at 1.8, it could indicate a potentially high-scoring game. Coupled with an analysis of the underdog’s recent goal-scoring form or their head-to-head goal-scoring statistics against similar opposition, there might be an opportunity to bet on the underdog on an alternative market, such as both teams to score today. With a myriad of analytical tools to help discern these patterns, it’s clear that this represents the kind of insightful and promising online betting South Africa is becoming known for.

The Mind Game 

The psychological dynamics in soccer are profoundly impacted by factors like team morale, the pressure of expectations, and the mental resilience of players. Underdogs often step onto the field devoid of the burden of expectations, which can foster a conducive environment for outperforming their potential. The absence of pressure can lead to a relaxed, fluid performance, enabling underdogs to exploit any complacency or anxiety exhibited by the favoured teams. 

The Sage’s Advice: Expert Predictions 

Besides professional tipsters, the modern-day betting landscape is enriched by a community of knowledgeable punters on social media platforms who share bet tips and slips for free. Easybet has one of the largest affiliate communities on social media, especially on X, formerly known as “Twitter”. They often provide unique perspectives based on meticulous analysis, historical data, and a keen understanding of the game dynamics. Engaging with such communities can provide punters with a diversified view, aiding in making well-informed online betting decisions. Most of the punters from Easybet’s affiliate community provide winning betting slips as well. Following tipster’s betting insights can sometimes unveil overlooked underdog betting opportunities. 

Strike When The Iron is Hot 

The realm of live betting is rife with opportunities, especially when it comes to underdog betting. For instance, during live play, if the odds of the underdog winning decrease by a certain percentage, say 15% within the first half, it could signal a shifting momentum in their favour. Similarly, sharp changes in odds in response to events like red cards, injuries to key players, or unexpected goals can present lucrative opportunities. For example, if the odds of an underdog winning shift from 8 to 6 after a key player injury on the favourite team, it could be a cue to place a bet on the underdog. Online betting platforms like Easybet provide real-time data analytics that can aid punters in identifying such pivotal moments when the odds shift, enabling them to strike when the iron is hot and maximise their potential payoff from underdog soccer bets.

The Epic of Leicester City: A Modern-day Legend 

Leicester City’s triumph during the 2015-2016 Premier League season stands as a modern-day legend in the world of soccer betting. Despite the odds stacked against them, their strong defensive setup and lethal counter-attacking strategy led them to clinch the title, showcasing the potential of underdog betting when analysed meticulously.


The underdog betting strategy embodies a blend of analytical foresight, understanding of psychological dynamics, and an ability to seize opportunities in real-time. As the landscape of online betting in South Africa expands, the allure of underdog betting continues to beckon the daring, offering a thrilling venture for those willing to delve deeper beyond the obvious. With online betting apps like Easybet offering enticing promotions, like a R50 Sign Up Bonus and a 150% Deposit Match Bonus, the journey into the world of underdog betting becomes even more rewarding.

Related Articles

Back to top button